Analytics
Best Lottery to Play
Rating of Russian lotteries by expected ticket value
What Is Expected Ticket Value?
Expected Value (EV) of a lottery ticket is the average amount you would receive per ticket if you played indefinitely.
For each prize category of the lottery, we multiply the prize amount by the probability of winning it, then sum the results across all categories. The total is the expected value of one ticket.
Return percentage shows what fraction of the ticket price you get back on average. For example, a 50% return means that for every 100 invested, you receive 50 back on average.
How the Calculation Works
The following steps are performed for each lottery:
- For each prize category, the probability of winning is calculated using combinatorial formulas (binomial coefficients) based on the lottery rules: number of balls in the drum, number of drawn balls, number of fields.
Formula: P = C(k, m) × C(n − k, p − m) / C(n, p), where n — total balls, k — drawn, p — player picks, m — must match. For lotteries with multiple fields, probabilities are multiplied. - The prize amount is multiplied by the probability — yielding the category's contribution to expected value.
- For the grand prize (jackpot), the current amount from upcoming draw data is used.
- All contributions are summed — this is the ticket's expected value.
- Return percentage = expected value ÷ ticket price × 100%.
Calculation Limitations
The calculation does not account for the possibility of jackpot being split among multiple winners. For categories with variable prizes (marked in details), the exact amount is unknown and not included. Actual expected value may differ.
Verify Prize Categories
Prize amounts in the database may be outdated. If the values are inaccurate, the expected value calculation will be incorrect. You can manually set the correct prize amounts on the Prizes page of each lottery — and the calculation will use your data.
The best lottery to play by expected value is Большое Спортлото with a return of 72.4%.
| Большое Спортлото | 100 ₽ | 123 265 637 ₽ | 72,36 ₽ | 72.4 % | |
| КЕНО | 100 ₽ | 20 000 000 ₽ | 70,32 ₽ | 70.3 % | |
| Большая 8 | 150 ₽ | 5 000 000 ₽ | 101,94 ₽ | 68.0 % | |
| Рапидо Ультра | 600 ₽ | 12 642 240 ₽ | 360,17 ₽ | 60.0 % | |
| Удача на сдачу | 30 ₽ | 857 925 ₽ | 17,67 ₽ | 58.9 % | |
| Трилогия | 50 ₽ | 1 500 000 ₽ | 29,27 ₽ | 58.5 % | |
| Великолепная 8 | 40 ₽ | 2 600 163 ₽ | 23,09 ₽ | 57.7 % | |
| Премьер | 80 ₽ | 95 776 501 ₽ | 45,75 ₽ | 57.2 % | |
| Супер 8 | 700 ₽ | 15 000 000 ₽ | 384,92 ₽ | 55.0 % | |
| Рапидо Драйв | 150 ₽ | 4 569 927 ₽ | 81,23 ₽ | 54.2 % | |
| Охота | 150 ₽ | 140 525 460 ₽ | 79,83 ₽ | 53.2 % | |
| 12 Добрых дел | 200 ₽ | 10 000 000 ₽ | 103,56 ₽ | 51.8 % | |
| Спортлото «4 из 20» | 300 ₽ | 259 342 239 ₽ | 154,99 ₽ | 51.7 % | |
| 5 из 36 | 100 ₽ | 2 693 855 ₽ | 51,58 ₽ | 51.6 % | |
| Спортлото «7 из 49» | 40 ₽ | 67 840 487 ₽ | 19,81 ₽ | 49.5 % | |
| Рапидо Про | 300 ₽ | 5 352 838 ₽ | 147,55 ₽ | 49.2 % | |
| Остатки сладки | 15 ₽ | 522 662 ₽ | 6,73 ₽ | 44.9 % | |
| Рапидо Старт | 60 ₽ | 733 905 ₽ | 26,3 ₽ | 43.8 % | |
| Забава от Русского лото | 150 ₽ | 5 000 000 ₽ | 65,26 ₽ | 43.5 % | |
| Всё или ничего | 150 ₽ | 5 000 000 ₽ | 65,26 ₽ | 43.5 % | |
| Топ 12 | 250 ₽ | 27 894 377 ₽ | 107,11 ₽ | 42.8 % | |
| Проще, чем дважды два | 20 ₽ | 151 020 ₽ | 8,44 ₽ | 42.2 % | |
| Охота. Вызов | 20 ₽ | 151 020 ₽ | 8,44 ₽ | 42.2 % | |
| Лавина призов | 100 ₽ | 20 000 000 ₽ | 41,26 ₽ | 41.3 % | |
| Спортлото «6 из 45» | 70 ₽ | 33 112 587 ₽ | 25,31 ₽ | 36.1 % | |
| Спортлото «5 из 36» | 75 ₽ | 3 000 000 ₽ | 23,28 ₽ | 31.0 % |